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In his inaugural
address at the UNO General Convention, the Secretary-General Kofi Annan
has preannounce a new age in the “humanitarian intervention “:
in the wake of the OTAN's operation in Kosovo and of the blue berets
landing in East Timor, he beard that “a great number of populations
would need a continuous and effective engagement by the international
community in order to help them to put an end to the cycles of violence
they undergo “.
It concerns without any doubt noble targets, on line with the trend to
not tolerate anymore wide scale violation of human rights neither inside
sovereign states. But if the Annan's recommendation would be taken to
the letter, if the UNO must really intervene anytime a minority were
persecuted or the peril of a genocide were outlined, maybe we would
set the tone of a phase of unprecedented 'world disorder'.
So it's convenient get back down-to-earth and examine which are the limits
of a policy that if applied methodically, would revolution anyway the
fixed principles of the International Right.
The first and main obstacle to the humanitarian intervention is anyhow
constituted by the structure itself of the UNO. In the vision of Annan,
it's on their charge, and only theirs, to decide to go into action,
to join the required forces and manage expeditions.
The most they can do is to delegate the task to a regional organization,
but the method followed in Kosovo for which, being impossible to reach
timely the consent of the Security Council, the OTAN took autonomously
the initiative,
must not be repeated anymore.
This rule, unexceptionable in terms of right, involves nevertheless a
range of very strict limitations. In the Security Council, the organ
that must deliberate any intervention and plant its modality, seat fifteen
countries: the five permanent members - United States, Great Britain,
France, Russia China - all having right of veto, and other ten, by turns.
If the council reformation will pass, the permanent members could become
even ten and the total get up to twenty-five.
It's self-evident the trouble to find, within an assembly alike, the
required consent to start off the intervention machine.
If, for Bosnia, at the end it has been found an agreement, for the Kosovo
it was impossible; and it was possible to launch the expedition to East
Timor only because the green light allowed by Indonesia removed the
objection by China.
The “interventionists” ask in a loud voice the change of
the UNO Chart and the abolition of the right of veto: but since that
must be put in act by the means of the consent of the powers that are
interested to keep the status quo, it concerns mere utopias.
Also in the situations the council ends finding an agreement, the UNO
arrives in general too late to prevent the tragedy and it remains only
to limit damages: Bosnia, Kosovo, Timor, with their numberless victims
teach that.
The Security Council does not have on its disposal an own army, and it
must entrust anytime the good will of the countries that, for geopolitical
reasons, are interested the most at the operation - but the military
and financial resources on disposal are on depletion since the humanitarian
interventions requires long term engagements.
For the OTAN troupes the first engagement has been of three years, but
in the chancelleries nobody believes to succeed in restoring security
conditions within 2002 in order to allow their withdrawal. At East-Timor
the blue berets will stay even more.
Really the
UNO missions tend to turn into real open-end international mandates.
After pacifying the region, infrastructure must be re-built, the country
must be equipped with new ones, and the basis of a civil life in common
must be restored. Often, as in Kosovo, all that must be carried out
in absence of exact indications about future, that is without knowing
if the final purpose of the temporary administration is the restore
of the sovereignty of the country (in the case in point the ex Yugoslavia)
to which it has been temporarily taken away or the constitution of an
independent state.
That's why, notwithstanding Annan's good intentions and the working out
of a new doctrine about interference into sovereign states internal
affairs, the perspectives for the future are not encouraging.
There are also cases for which is objectively difficult to state if the
reaction of the constituted powers to a revolt is legitimated by the
circumstances or it emerges as a real abuse of power requiring an international
sanction.
Let's make some examples.
Africa is plenty of tribal conflicts causing millions dead, refugees
and provoking untellable suffering for old, women and children, categories
the UNO Chart deserves special protection.
The massacre by the Moslem fundamentalists of Khartoum of the Christian
and animist populations in Sudan must be stopped in the south Sudan;
than it must be brought the peace in Angola, torn for twenty years by
a war started under the shield of the clash East-West, but turned in
the meanwhile into an endless tribal conflict; Sierra Leone, Liberia
and Congo, set over last years of brutal as well as senseless civil
wars must be pacified and re-built; it must go once more in Somalia.
But why must USA and Europe charge these endemic crisis, bringing the
clock of Africa back to a hundred years ago, and that surely are not
destabilizing, global level? Who pays, who supplies troupes, who has
interest in laying hands on so complex situations, and furthermore so
hopeless in succeeding? Nobody, obviously.
If Africa is a disaster Asia is a real a powder keg. The last years events
have induced many Europeans to become fond of the destiny of the Kurdish
population, 25 millions people searching a nation, divided into Turkey,
Iraq, Iran and Syria, whose rights are trampled upon systematically.
Numberless the appeals, the motions, the proposal to give finally a homeland
to Kurdish.
But the same politicians that claim for an independent Kurdistan and
thunder against the Turley, condemn the work done of the Unite States
in Iraq, that certainly was worth to create an area where the oppressed
are sheltered from the Saddam's persecutions.
On the other side, in the no far Cecenia, Russians have killed 80.000
persons in the vain attempt to submit the rebel republic and now are
moving with the same brutal methods against the Moslem rebels in Daghestan.
The situation is not, neither in Right terms, very different from that
pushing the OTAN to bomb Belgrade and occupy the
Kosovo.
And instead the opinion, rather unanimous of the chancelleries, is that
Russia has the right to defend the integrity of its own territory and
the duty to fight against a movement employing terrorism to achieve
its own targets.
What about the western attitude as regard to the Tibet matter? It is
true that the occupation of this country by China dates back to almost
50 years ago, it is true that the more blood repressions belong to the
Mao period, but also in early time Peking has surely not joked. Instead
the international community mainly interested to integrate China in
the economic world system turns prudishly the face.
The truth is that it does not exist any code in humanitarian interventions
because the Realpolitik does not allow it and will never allow making
it out.
They will go on employing, according to circumstances, not a double standard
but even, triple or quadruple. If the classic colonial age, as expression
of the European expansionism, has ended since time, colonialism survives
intact in the third world, under the shape of oppression of minorities
by central governments: see Indonesia, Philippine, Sudan, and even Mexico.
Facing all these situations is evidently impossible. Some of them will
be faced sometimes, following more the stimulus of the media and the
mood of the moment than humanitarian and political objective evaluations.
For the oppressed populations to achieve an UNO intervention will be
as win in a lottery, provided that these interventions really succeed
in bettering their situation.
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